Unraveling the signals of sea level and storminess of the past millennium (southern North Sea; SEASTORM)
Additionally, we aim on extending the model simulations into the future to identify potential changes in storm-surge variability under global warming. The high variability in extremes has shown that large ensembles are necessary to estimate changes in future storm-flood statistics. Previous studies that rely on short data or small ensembles to estimate future storm-flood statistics miss an important factor as they do not account for the large variability in sea-level extremes and thus cannot adequately estimate changes in the top end of the distribution.
Publications of the SEASTORM project:
Lang, A., and Mikolajewicz, U. (2020), Rising extreme sea levels in the German Bight under enhanced CO2 levels: a regionalized large ensemble approach for the North Sea. Clim Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05357-5.
Müller-Navarra, K., Y. Milker, D. Bunzel, S. Lindhorst, J. Friedrich, H. Arz, and G. Schmiedl (2019), Evolution of a salt marsh in the southeastern North Sea region - Anthropogenic and natural forcing, Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 218, 268-277, doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2018.12.022.
Bunzel, D., Y. Milker, K. Müller-Navarra, H.W. Arz, J. Friedrich, N. Lahajnar, G. Schmiedl (2020), Integrated stratigraphy of foreland salt-marsh sediments of the south-eastern North Sea region, Newsletters on Stratigraphy, 53, 415-442, doi:10.1127/nos/2020/0540.